Risks are ‘large’ for Pakistan


Months after downgrading Pakistan’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to “CCC-” from “CCC+”, the Fitch Ratings Friday revealed that the risks are large and a default or debt restructuring is an increasingly real possibility for the country.

“Our base case is still that Pakistan and the IMF will reach an agreement on the programme review,” Bloomberg reported citing Hong Kong-based director at Fitch, Krisjanis Krustins.

Krustins revealed that cash-strapped Pakistan is bound to repay a total of $3.7 billion of debt payments in the May-June period as the government struggles to secure a bailout from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The director said about $700 million of maturities are due in May and another $3 billion in June.

Fitch told Bloomberg that it expects $2.4 billion of deposits and loans from China will be rolled over.

Pakistan, which has been negotiating to restart a $6.5 billion bailout with the IMF for about half a year, is racing to avert a default as the foreign exchange reserves – which currently provide an import cover of nearly one month – come under pressure.

The country has secured financing support from countries in the Middle East and China, a key IMF condition. The debt payments underscore the crucial need for Pakistan to resume its bailout programme with the Washington-based lender that has been stalled since November last year.

The $1.1 billion tranche is part of a $6.5 billion bailout package the IMF approved in 2019, which is due to end in June, prior to the budget. So far, Pakistan has received $3.9 billion.__Daily Times