Vienna Poll Predicts Dramatic Shift in Political Landscape

Austria

VIENNA, AUSTRIA — A new W24 and IFDD “Stadtbarometer” survey signals a major political shake-up in Vienna, with the ruling Social Democratic Party (SPÖ) projected to fall below 40% support for the first time in years. If municipal and state elections were held this Sunday, the SPÖ would secure only 37% of the vote—a decline of over 4% compared to the 2020 elections.

FPÖ Emerges as the Biggest Gainer

The Freedom Party of Austria (FPÖ) is the survey’s clear winner, projected to triple its 2020 vote share, gaining a staggering 15% to reach 22%. This surge positions the FPÖ as a formidable contender in Vienna’s political arena.

Conversely, the Austrian People’s Party (ÖVP) faces a sharp decline, losing 9% of its voter base and falling to 11%. This marks a significant setback for the ÖVP, leaving them behind the Green Party, which stands at 12%.

Other parties also see varied results. The liberal NEOS are forecasted at 10%, while the Communist Party of Austria (KPÖ) garners 4%, and the satirical Bierpartei attracts 3% of voters.

Direct Mayoral Vote Offers SPÖ Relief

In a hypothetical direct mayoral election, Michael Ludwig of the SPÖ remains well ahead, commanding 48% support—significantly outperforming his party’s projected share. Dominik Nepp of the FPÖ mirrors his party’s 22%, while Karl Mahrer of the ÖVP also aligns with his party’s 11%.

Political Landscape in Flux

The poll highlights mounting challenges for Vienna’s political establishment, with the FPÖ’s rise underscoring shifting voter preferences. The SPÖ, while maintaining a lead, faces growing competition amid changing dynamics.

As Vienna approaches its next electoral test, the evolving political landscape raises questions about the city’s future governance and priorities.